Saturday, 11 April 2026

The hidden cost of war: Food, fertiliser and the future of agriculture

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WHEN we talk about war, we usually focus on the immediate tragedy: territory lost, cities levelled, and the heartbreaking number of families forced to flee. We see the tragedy on our screens, but we don’t always expect to find it reflected on our grocery receipts.

Yet, as tensions flare in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, a “quiet disaster” is unfolding far from the front lines. It is showing up as “sticker shock” at our local pasar, making its way onto our dinner plates, and keeping our farmers up at night.

In our hyper-connected world, a shell fired thousands of kilometres away doesn’t stay “over there”. It ripples across borders until it dictates the price of a loaf of bread in our neighbourhood stores or a bag of rice in our rural towns.

The Broken Breadbasket

For decades, the world has relied on “global breadbaskets” – nations like Russia and Ukraine – to provide the wheat, maize, and, crucially, the fertiliser that fuels modern agriculture. But when shipping lanes are choked and infrastructure is turned to rubble, the global supply chain doesn’t just slow down; it snaps.

For a Malaysian farmer, fertiliser isn’t just a line item in a ledger – it is a lifeline. Producing the nutrients our soil needs (nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium) requires massive amounts of natural gas. When war disrupts energy markets, fertiliser prices don’t just rise; they skyrocket.

Suddenly, “feeding” the soil becomes a luxury. When a farmer can no longer afford to nourish their crops, harvests become thinner, and the cost of every grain of rice or bundle of sawi goes up for the rest of us. It is a direct threat to the livelihoods of those who work our land.

The ‘War Tax’ on Our Food

Then there is fuel. Farming today is a diesel-powered industry. It’s what runs tractors, powers irrigation pumps, and drives the lorries that bring fresh produce from our farms to the cities.

Every time global conflict drives up the price of oil, an invisible “war tax” is added to our food. By the time a cabbage reaches your local grocer, it has travelled a path paved with rising costs. It is a tax paid not by soldiers, but by everyday Malaysians trying to manage the family budget.

Scars That Don’t Heal

Beyond the economics, there is the environmental toll. War leaves literal scars on the earth. Military shells and chemical runoff can poison soil and water for generations. Farmland isn’t a factory – you can’t just flip a switch to turn it back on.

Once the land is degraded, it can take decades to recover its fertility.

When you add the chaos of war to the existing pressure of a changing climate, food security stops being a “policy issue” discussed in boardrooms. It becomes a genuine national emergency.

A Wake-Up Call for Resilience

These global tremors are a loud, uncomfortable wake-up call. While we have made strides in feeding ourselves, we remain far too dependent on foreign sources for the fuel and fertiliser that keep our farms breathing.

We are learning the hard way that self-sufficiency isn’t just an economic goal – it is an act of national resilience. Supporting our local farmers and investing in agricultural research is no longer optional; it is our best shield against a volatile world.

Our greatest secret weapon might be right in our own backyard. Malaysia’s incredible biodiversity isn’t just a scenic treasure; it’s a reservoir of ancient knowledge. From our rainforests to the traditional practices of our indigenous communities, we have the tools to build “unbreakable” farming systems. These traditional methods emphasise harmony with the land – principles that are far more stable than a global market that collapses every time a trade route is blocked.

The true cost of war is rarely confined to the battlefield. It travels through gas pipes, cargo ships, and grocery aisles. In an uncertain world, the most powerful strategy we have is to protect our nature and invest in our own soil. Securing our future means ensuring that, no matter what happens abroad, we can always put food on the table at home.

The views expressed here are those of the writer and do not necessarily represent the views of Sarawak Tribune. The writer can be reached at ab_fauziah@upm.edu.my.

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